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On Pace: Hitters E-mail
Written by TwinsTerritory   
Sunday, 29 June 2008

The Twins have officially played half of their games in the 2008 season and are 44-37 overall. With 81 games left to play, I thought it might be a good idea to see what the players are on pace to do at season’s end.

** Justin Morneau is on pace to collect nearly 200 hits with a total projection of 192, hit 24 homeruns and drive in 126 runners. Hopefully the homerun total will rise with the second half of the season, but I’ll take these numbers and his above .300 batting average any day.

** Joe Mauer is on pace for 6 homeruns and 68 runs batted in, along with somewhere near 180 hits. In addition to those key stats, Mauer is on pace to hit in .320s which would give him a legit shot at his second batting title. My favorite projections for Mauer however are his strikeouts and walks. Mauer is on pace to strikeout just 46 times and walk 86. That is nearly twice as many walks -- very impressive.

** Jason Kubel is on pace to put up some pretty impressive numbers from the designated hitter spot. If he continues his solid hitting into the second half, he is on pace for 26 homeruns and 88 runs batted in. The reason for his homerun total being higher than Morneau’s is that he has played in fewer games and hit the same number of homeruns in the first half -- 12.

** Carlos Gomez is on pace for double-digits in homeruns (10) and 58 runs batted in. He is also on pace for 41 steals, and that number is down with his poor stealing in the month of June. If he gets back on track in July and in the second half, it could be more towards 60 than the projected 41.

** Michael Cuddyer is on pace for just 9 homeruns after missing time with a hand injury. He is still on pace however for 81 runs batted in which would be pretty solid. An odd projection for Cuddyer is his pace for 9 triples.

** Craig Monroe is on pace for a solid homerun total of 19, and an RBI total of 64. If his ways of hitting continue however, he’ll also have a batting average somewhere around the low .200s.

** Brian Buscher has played in just fifteen games, but if he finishes out the season he’ll be somewhere near the 96 games mark. Assuming he sticks around, Buscher is on pace for 6 homeruns and 96 runs batted in (the RBI numbers are obviously inflated, but given his RBI per game average thus far, it is a correct projection).

** Delmon Young is on pace for 2 homeruns and 54 runs batted in, along with a batting average in the upper .280s. The numbers might be somewhat disappointing for fans, but he has a decent average and I blame the numbers on the Sophomore slump.

** Alexi Casilla is on pace for 12 homeruns and 90 runs batted in. His projections, much like Buscher’s, are inflated do to his solid stats in his small sampling of games. He likely won’t have numbers like this, but they still should be very solid.

** Brendan Harris is on pace for 9 homeruns and 47 runs batted in. If he continues to get better at the plate in the second half, he could also find himself hitting in the upper .200s for his batting average.

** Mike Lamb is on pace for 2 homeruns, Nick Punto is on pace for 33 runs batted in, and Mike Redmond is on pace for 22 runs batted in and an average somewhere near the .300 mark.

Due to injuries or being sent down, Adam Everett, Matt Tolbert, Denard Span and Matt Macri were not included in the list.

The pitchers will be coming up next in the half-way series of “On Pace”.

Comments (4)Add Comment
Nice
written by Twins Fix, June 29, 2008
Great research! Very interesting stuff. Kubel with more dingers than Morneau? That'd be sweet.
Thanks
written by Twins Territory, June 29, 2008
It would be very interesting if Kubel hit more homeruns. For Morneau to get to the 30 mark, he'd need to hit 18 from today's game on out.

What I found interesting was Kubel's potential RBI total of 88. I don't think a lot of people realize how good he has actually been.
Delmon and Harris
written by MorneauMVP, June 30, 2008
Delmon had early season troubles last season too. Most hitters do but I see him turning it around with an excellent second half. I could see him hitting .320 in the second half of the season with about 33 RBI... I think he will turn it around.

Harris, the fellow Ray, also has gotten off to a slow start but with his recent offensive surge, I see him finishing the season with a fairly respectable HR/RBI/Avg total.

Anybody else think that Harris likes to hit at Petco?
I agree...
written by Twins Territory, June 30, 2008
...on the Delmon take. He has looked very solid over the past week or so, and I think he'll turn things on in the next 80 games.

As for Harris, he has hit well latley also. He should remain at short full-time when Everett returns.

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